Mexico
Mexico's Central Bank Vice-Governor warns: "Pemex will soon go from being a migraine for the government to an incurable cancer"
Jonathan Heath regretted that the government sees the troubled oil giant as a promise. Tough questions about the 2021 budget outlook for the oil company.

For the government of Andrés Manuel López Obrador, Pemex has to become the engine of growth for Mexico in the coming years, but not everyone agrees with this assessment. The deputy governor of the Central Bank (Banxico), Jonathan Heath, has been one of the main critics of this project, assuring that far from it, Pemex is more of a "headache".

In a virtual event organized by Moody's, Heath warned -in a statement that he emphasized is personal and does not conform to Banxico- that, in addition, the problem that the Mexican oil company means to the government is "soon" to become a migraine with high possibilities of getting worse".

"Part of the problem is that the government does not see Pemex as a headache but rather sees it as an engine for future growth, which is practically impossible. This is something the government has to realize sooner or later and take care of it, otherwise it will soon become a migraine and then an incurable cancer".

Court battle: Dozens of Canadian, European energy companies sue the Mexican government

Heath stressed that the government is well on time to address this problem, because in his opinion, the approach it is giving Pemex is not aimed at solving the fiscal risk issue.

This opinion is shared in the market, which observes with fear López Obrador's strategy of putting the oil company at the center of its objectives and showing willingness to continue supporting the oil company to get out of its very complicated financial situation.

For her part, in the same event, Arlane Ortiz-Bollin, senior analyst of Moody's, said that the state-owned company directed by Octavio Romero is the principal fiscal risk for the country and also questioned the management that is being given to its budgetary resources.

 Mexico's Central Bank Vice-Governor warns: "Pemex will soon go from being a migraine for the government to an incurable cancer"

Octavio Romero, Pemex CEO.

Ortiz-Bollin stressed that while the 2021 budget, given the lack of "cushions" and a frankly weakened economy, required cuts in several sectors of the government, it did not apply to Pemex, where, on the contrary, there was a slight increase.

The problem, according to the analyst, is that she sees "substantial and recurrent" support of at least 1% of the GDP that could reach 2% according to market conditions, but that is only enough to comply with the huge debts that the oil company has.

"But this is not enough for Pemex to be able to increase its production and its level of reserves, which will continue to be one of the factors in the persistence of the debt," warned Ortíz-Bollin.

According to the 2021 budget project delivered on Tuesday, Pemex and CFE -the state-owned energy company- as a whole, will receive a total of 300 thousand million pesos, which is in fact about 5.1% less than what was approved for the previous year.

Of both companies, it is Octavio Romero's oil company that received a slight increase in its resources by 0.6% in real terms, by receiving 554 thousand million pesos while CFE gets the reduction, since its resources are 11.6% less than last year's, thus, it is left with 417,100 million.


Publicar un comentario
Para enviar su comentario debe confirmar que ha leido y aceptado el reglamento de terminos y condiciones de LPO
Comentarios
Los comentarios publicados son de exclusiva responsabilidad de sus autores y las consecuencias derivadas de ellas pueden ser pasibles de las sanciones legales que correspondan. Aquel usuario que incluya en sus mensajes algun comentario violatorio del reglamento de terminos y condiciones será eliminado e inhabilitado para volver a comentar.
Más de English

The Centrao has already won‎

Por Marco Bastos
The Centrão is the bloc of conservative parties that has dominated Brazilian politics since the return to democracy in 1989. That bloc has been the hinge of the Brazilian political system, supporting all the Presidents of the young Brazilian democracy - both those on the left and on the right.‎
The LIBRE Initiative Believes Latinos will Define the Future of US Politics

The LIBRE Initiative Believes Latinos will Define the Future of US Politics

Por Lila Abed (Washington DC)
"I think that Governor DeSantis and Senator Marco Rubio will be reelected in 2022,", says Director of Public Affairs at The LIBRE Initiative, César Grajales.
Democrats should 'tell authentic stories' to reach Latinos, says former Bernie Sanders advisor

Democrats should 'tell authentic stories' to reach Latinos, says former Bernie Sanders advisor

Por B. Debusmann (Washington DC)
Junelle Cavero Harnal, a former advisor to Bernie Sanders and Head of Political at H Code, believes that an effort to explain why policies matter to Latino households will help the Democrats gain their support in upcoming elections.
"Latinos were undercounted in the Census," says expert.

"Latinos were undercounted in the Census," says expert.

Por Lila Abed (Washington DC)
"The Arizona legislature is trying to suppress the Latino vote because they see the trends that Latinos continue to gain more numbers and therefore more political clout," Joseph Garcia, Director of Public Affairs and International Relations at Chicanos Por La Causa (CPLC) .
Time to end 'dynastic politics' in the Bronx, council candidate says

Time to end 'dynastic politics' in the Bronx, council candidate says

Por B. Debusmann (Washington DC)
Marcos Sierra says that ending political dynasties from affluent areas of the borough will help attract new Latino and African American voters.
Meet Baltimore's first - and only - Latina city councilperson

Meet Baltimore's first - and only - Latina city councilperson

Por B. Debusmann (Washington DC)
Councilwoman Odette Ramos believes that the city's growing Latino population will become increasingly active in local politics.